The evolution of Germany’s photovoltaic strategy: photovoltaik-strategie

Germany has been at the forefront of the European green energy transition for a number of years now and the country doesn’t look like slowing down anytime soon. In the first six months of 2023 alone, Germany installed 1.6 GW of new onshore wind capacity, adding to its already impressive portfolio.

The country has set ambitious targets for the future in a plan dubbed the “Energiewende” that commits Germany to getting 80% of its energy supply from renewables by 2030. The country is so far on track to meet that goal and is providing an example for countries around the world to follow.

A key aspect of Germany’s green energy transition will be the use of solar photovoltaic (PV) technology. In this blog, we will be looking at the recent developments in Germany’s PV strategy and what that means for the country moving forward.

The German solar market

Germany already has a robust solar PV market in place, recently overtaking Spain to become the largest PV market in Europe. The country currently has over 3 million PV systems connected for a total installed capacity of roughly 70 GW. 

Much of this capacity is found in residential and commercial solar installations. However, there are also a number of utility-scale installations in the country.

At present, this capacity is expected to grow to almost 140 GW by 2028, setting Germany well on its way to achieving its climate goals. However, targets have been set to reach 215 GW of installed capacity by 2030, so more investment in the solar space will be required if the country is to meet this goal.

Germany’s photovoltaic strategy

To this end, Germany has set out a new plan for solar PV strategy over the coming years. In the wake of revising the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) in 2022, the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK) turned its attention to updating the country's solar PV strategy.

In a plan presented to the German government in May 2023, named Solar Package I, BMWK laid out 11 fields of action for overhauling Germany’s solar PV approach and optimizing the country’s energy supply as a whole. This first package was followed by Solar Package II which laid out measures to be undertaken later in the year.

Let’s briefly look at each of the proposed fields of action in turn.

Solar Package I Fields of Action

Results

The first draft of the above plan was presented at the first photovoltaics summit that took place at the Federal Ministry of Economics. The finalized version was then presented at a second photovoltaics summit.

In August 2023, the German government approved a €57.6 billion investment into green energy projects in 2024. This investment represents an increase of more than 60% in funding over 2023. The bulk of this investment will go towards infrastructure projects, with €18.9 billion set aside for new construction projects and renovation of existing infrastructure.

The government also confirmed that €12.6 billion will be put towards renewable energy subsidies in an attempt to supercharge new renewable energy projects. There will also be €4.1 billion in subsidies for domestic manufacturing to help Germany start producing renewable technologies again and reduce reliance on imports.

In solar PV specifically, 1.67 GW of PV capacity across 124 bids was also allocated back in August. Most of these bids were on arable and agricultural land, with others being along railways and motorways. These new projects will be spread out across the country with Bavaria being allocated the most capacity at 741 MW.

Challenges

However, there are fears that a budget crisis in the country could lead to these promised PV investments being rolled back. In November, the German constitutional court ruled that €60 billion of unused debt could not be transferred to climate funding. This has left many of the proposed plans on hold, unsure whether they will be able to complete the approved projects.

On top of this, price pressures from China have led to losses in the German PV manufacturing industry, with vendors being forced to sell below production costs. Without subsidies, it is likely that domestic PV production will stagnate.

While the Solar Package I and the promised investment into green energy projects are sources of optimism in a country with an already strong renewable energy sector, budgetary restrictions may slow down Germany’s progress in 2024. It is yet to be seen if Germany can fulfill its plans and meet its climate targets but steps are being taken in the right direction. Only time will tell how the German PV strategy will unfold into next year and beyond.